14 SURVIVAL TIPS FOR MANAGING DURING ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
Running or managing a small business often leaves little
time to keep track of national, and even regional, economic indicators that
might affect your industry and your specific operation. Yet conditions such
as interest rates, inflation, gross national product, stock prices and consumer
confidence have direct impact on your profitability and on relationships with
vendors, customers and
even employees.
During periods of economic decline, whether widespread or cyclical for a particular
type of business, entrepreneurs are most likely to bear the brunt. Yet the
fact that conditions are changing opens up opportunities for resourceful firms
to outsmart larger competitors who, during a downturn,
carry on business as usual or are unable to adapt quickly -- except to fire
employees.
Such innovative small firms can:
* Gain market share by taking it away from competitors unable to adjust to
shifting mar-
ket conditions.
* Maintain a strong cash stream throughout the downturn, in contrast to other
companies
that may have liquidity problems.
* Become a leaner, more cost-effective and more efficient operation, better
positioned to do well when the market improves. The challenge is to be aggressive
and imaginative. Entrepreneurs who survive and even prosper during hard times
must be able to look beyond the present, to overcome the constraints of tradition,
to see the firm from a new perspective, and to do business differently.
Here are 14 specific recommendations for small business owners and managers
to follow during economic upheavals:
1. Watch your inventories carefully, but don't hold them down so tight that
you'll lose sales. Typically during a slowdown, there is an imbalance between
slumping retail sales and bloated inventories -- don't be saddled with leftover
merchandise that ties up your cash flow.
One possibility is converting inventories into cash. If your business traditionally
stocks 250 units of each of its slowest-moving products, consider cutting
that number to 100 each. Monitor the results, keeping an eye out for those
products that can tolerate even leaner inventories or that should be eliminated
from your stock. This way if sales nosedive, less of your cash is locked into
unproductive assets.
2. Taking that point further, monitor your cash flow very diligently, and
forecast it monthly to ensure that expenses and planned expenditures are in
line with accounts receivable. Make sure your financial statements provide
information that is timely, relevant and accurate. Cash flow statements
are superior in this regard to income statements and balance sheets. Be able
to project where you will stand three months in advance.
Negotiate with suppliers, contractors and landlords for better prices or short-term
reductions, and even consider trading goods and services on a barter exchange
for credits instead of for cash. Take advantage of supplier discounts for
prompt payment, and don't pay checks for no-discount bills before they're
due.
If the cash bind has already surfaced, talk to creditors before the bills
are past
due to persuade them to extend payments of your current bills. Your chances
of getting their cooperation will lessen if you wait until they send collection
memos. Keep in mind that suppliers' credit managers will be more receptive
if your payment history is a solid one, and you can assure them future bills
will be paid on time.
3. Separate the "nice to do" from the "have to do," and
eliminate nonessential expenses as much as possible. Ask yourself, is that
activity necessary? If not, don't do it. Also consider cutting personal spending.
Simple solutions such as brown bag lunches and car pooling can make a difference.
4. Reduce or stretch out debt, and build up your capital reserves. Watch the
credit-worthiness of your customers, even bread and butter accounts. Remaining
close toexisting customers, and checking to see howthey are getting on during
the economicdownturn, not only helps avoid unpleasant surprises but could
also lead to new opportunities.
Besides, when sales are sluggish, keeping in touch with customers (always
a sound business practice) becomes vital to head off eager competitors. If
appropriate, encourage sales people to call on every customer on a regular
basis, and set aside some of
your own time to do the same. Frequent face-to-face meetings with your client
base provides an excellent opportunity -- probably your only one -- to pacify
disgruntled customers and win back lost ones.
Try to lock up long-term contracts with your most important customers at anything
approaching acceptable terms. Offer prepayment incentives, for example, and
discounts on long-term buys.
5. Get aggressive with collections. According to the partner of a consulting
firm, "when business is good, companies tend to become lazy about collecting
on receivables. This can prove dangerous in a recession." Assume that
the average collection period for your industry is 45 days, but your company
is at 51 days. After bringing that collection period down to the industry
average, keep working to get it down to 40 days. Being tough with customers
may be unpleasant, but it's an important safeguard against the effects of
a prolonged economic slowdown.
6. In a related vein, look hard at capital spending. Consider delaying both
the purchase of high ticket items and expansion plans that take a long time
to pay off. At the same time, make sure you have enough capacity to start
filling orders again when the economy stabilizes.
7. Strengthen your banking relationships, which includes letting lenders know
the company's financial position. Banks are looking for business to boost
their income, but are also trying to minimize risk, so they are careful about
what kind of loans they undertake. Most experts agree, however, that seeking
additional credit during a recession is not advisable.
8. Look for opportunities to reduce rented space. If, similar to many companies,
you acquired space in anticipation of staff expansion that ultimately proved
unnecessary, this may be a good time to sublet that space -- thus reducing
overhead and generating extra income.
With this in mind, commit yourself to sub-leasing a set percentage of your
company's space.
By consolidating operations and removing unused equipment, you may find that
much of the space you thought you had to have was simply draining the bottom
line.
9. Now is the time to be prudently aggressive in the marketplace. Actively
seek out new business,
and perhaps add a salesperson or two or an extra service to give you an edge
over competition.
10. Similarly, don't skimp on service and quality by being understaffed. Options
include freelancers, consultants and part-time employees. One advantage of
a slowdown is that hiring gets easier
because there are more candidates from which to choose due to layoffs and
other cutbacks.
11. In strategizing how to build your customer base and induce current customers
to raise revenues, the importance of good service cannot be overstressed --
especially as their buying power or willingness to spend is lessened during
tough economic times. Studies show that perception of service is fixed primarily
in terms of time in a customer's mind. Three examples are: waiting time to
obtain service; reaction time to deliver service; and length of time of the
service. In banks or stores, or phoning in orders or for information, prospective
customers will walk out or hang up if their time perception is strained.
According to management consultant Donald Blumberg, author of Managing Service
as a Strategic Profit Center, customers will temper their time demands when
they see store employees busy helping other customers. But they will not be
so tolerant when clerks are chatting with one another or on the phone while
waiting customers are ignored. An informal, friendly attitude by owner-managers
is key to a happy workplace, with emphasis clearly placed on the important
role all employees play in meeting customer needs for attentive, timely service.
12. Historically, many businesses reduce advertising and promotional expenditures
rather than
slash fixed costs during hard times. However, studies have shown that those
maintaining or increasing ad outlays during slowdowns wind up outselling rivals
who cut back.
Savvy marketers can boost sales and market share, even if the industry in
which they compete is in a slump, by focusing on short-term tactical techniques
such as sales and price promotions (including cents-off coupons and rebates),
and tailoring advertising in response to the shaky economic climate.
Survival guidelines include:
* Monitor your competitors' advertising. If they're cutting down, seriously
consider in creasing your ad budget and hitting harder.
This will provide a great opportunity to capture -- and retain -- a larger
share of the
market.
* Avoid gimmicky and clever advertising. Center your message on the benefits
and advantages of your product or service -- such as convenience or energy
efficiency -- rather than making emotional appeals.
* Use direct-response advertising techniques.
Use hard-hitting copy with simple but convincing language, a special offer
the prospect will find hard to pass up, and a strong call to action.
* Avoid ads that look like ads. Make them appear to be vital messages to the
consumer offering them the most for their money.
* Stress quality and durability. Consumers are looking for as much value as
possible in a weak economy. But don't actually use the words "quality"
and durability," as they have degenerated into advertising cliches. Show,
don't tell.
* Study advertising research thoroughly. Know which page positions pull best,
which copy factors work effectively, which colours do the job, and so on. Spend
every ad dollar carefully.
* Re-examine your marketing mix to ensure it is the most cost effective.
* Keep in mind that perceptions play a major role in a week economy. If people
believe money is going to be tight, they will behave as if it is -- even if
they have money to spend. Your ads have to convince prospective customers
that your product or service is a wise investment.
13. Another mistake during recessionary times is to reduce training budgets.
Training can best be conducted during slack periods -- especially low-cost,
on-the-job instruction and broadened skill acquisition. Also, local community
colleges offer a number of free classes that teach and upgrade trade and office
skills and supervision techniques.
14. Get employees involved in policy choices as well as tactics and implementation
-- asking, for example, if costs can be cut 15 percent without layoffs. If
layoffs or a significant reduction in work hours are unavoidable, let employees
take a lead role in designing the program. Shortened hours, job reassignments,
job sharing and other alternatives may surface.
Meet with staff regularly to exchange ideas on boosting productivity and other
issues. Create an incentive for good suggestions, and foster a team spirit
for survival.
Remember that employees need to feel they are important to your company, and
that their work is challenging them up to their full capabilities. "Do
what I tell you" management styles need to be replaced, because small
businesses whose owner or managers are "the whole show" can definitely
benefit by encouraging workers on all levels to contribute their expertise
instead of just following orders. This is especially true during lean times
when challenges to business success are greatest.
While economic downturns are admittedly difficult, and increase the obstacles
small businesses face in trying to survive and grow, it is not axiomatic that
companies have to slash earnings and compress market share. That recourse
befalls firms that take too long to realize what must be done, or which resist
change. Resourceful entrepreneurs capture the available opportunities, and
take steps during today's hard times to lay the groundwork for tomorrow's
prosperity.